Thursday’s winter weather: The timing, locations and snow amounts the area could see

MIAMI VALLEY — It was a cold start to the day across the Miami Valley. Morning low temperatures dipped all the way into the low teens in spots this morning, and we won’t warm up much this afternoon. Only expect highs in the 20s.

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A winter storm will pass to our south today, bringing accumulating snow to Tennessee, Kentucky, parts of Southern Ohio, and West Virginia before moving toward New England tomorrow. Although the worst of the weather will pass well to our south, we should still see some snowflakes locally.

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The best opportunity for seeing flurries or light snow will come between 2 p.m. and 6 p.m. You may see a passing flurry outside of that window of time, but the afternoon into early evening looks to present our best chance at light snow.


All of the Miami Valley still has a chance at seeing flurries, however chances increase further south and east and decrease north and west. Celina may only see a few flakes out of this system while Wilmington will have a few hours of light snow showers. Everywhere else will fall somewhere in between.


As the locations mentioned above may suggest, chances for accumulating snow will be greatest over the far southeastern Miami Valley. Chances for seeing snow accumulate decrease further north and west.

As of now, the Dayton area can expect a trace to few tenths of an inch of snow. Further southeast, areas south of I-71 may see closer to a half inch of snow. Areas north of I-70, especially north of I-70 and west of I-75 shouldn’t expect much accumulation at this time.


This system does not appear to be a big snowfall producer for the Miami Valley. However, with temperatures as cold as they are forecast to be, any snow that falls will stick. Any untreated roadways may become snow covered, even if just by few tenths of an inch of snow.

Use caution while driving Thursday afternoon, particularly if your travels take you south and east of the Miami Valley.

Regardless of how much snow we actually pick up, we will experience our coldest weather so far this winter season. Low temperatures may dip as low as 10 degrees come Friday. Wind chills may be below zero to begin the day Friday.


Between November 1st and Jan. 6, Dayton averages 7.1 inches of snow. So far, only .8 of an inch of snow have been officially recorded in Dayton. A half inch fell back in mid-November. An additional three-tenths of an inch fell between December 7th and 8th.

December 2021 was the second warmest December all-time in Dayton. Only Dec. 2015 was warmer.

Temperatures are currently forecast to get as low as 10 degrees come Friday morning. Dayton was last at 10 degrees or colder on Feb. 20, 2021.

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